Despite all the concerns surrounding the rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI), the development of…

Despite all the concerns surrounding the rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI), the development of artificial general intelligence (AGI) is still at least 10 years away, according to Robin Li, co-founder and CEO of Baidu.

Artificial general intelligence refers to hypothetical artificial intelligence systems that will far exceed human cognitive abilities in the future, and it is already raising many concerns – with some highlighting the existential danger of artificial general intelligence for human life. ‘humanity.

He told me during his round table at Viva Tech Paris 2024:

“AGI is still a few years away, I think it’s more than 10 years away… Today’s most powerful (AI) models are a long way from that. “We don’t yet know how to achieve this level of intelligence. »

This prediction comes shortly after Vitalik Buterin, co-founder of Ethereum, said that OpenAI’s GPT-4 generative AI model had passed the Turing test – an obscure standard for AI systems that would determine how similar a conversational model is to a human.

According to Li, Baidu is one of the leading developers of large language models (LLM) in China and has around 200 million cumulative AI users.

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Solving pressing societal problems is the path to artificial general intelligence

While there is an ongoing debate over the effectiveness of open and closed AI development, developers should primarily focus on using the technology to solve pressing human problems, which will ultimately lead to the general artificial intelligence, according to Li. he said:

“By solving (societal problems), you will be able to improve the founding model which is getting closer and closer to artificial general intelligence.”

Although it could take another decade for the first human-like AI to appear, this development could allay concerns about the current population decline.

“If AI becomes as intelligent as humans, we will solve the human problem… Generative AGI could lead to the productivity of a billion people.” I don’t know who will get there first, but everyone’s lives will be better.

Billionaire businessman Elon Musk is one of the most prominent voices expressing concern about population decline. In an X post dated August 2022, Musk wrote:

“Population collapse due to falling birth rates represents a far greater danger to civilization than global warming. »

The annual growth rate of the world’s population has fallen to 0.91% in 2024, from 1.28% just 20 years ago in 2004, according to Worldometer data.

Annual population growth rate. Source: Worldometer

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